Company Analysis

AES Corporation (AES)

NYSE: AES · Cogeneration Services & Small Power Producers · Arlington, VA · filing with the SEC since 1996
Grade4.8
◀ Past 2.5● Present 6.0▶ Future 5.0

The company now

The AES Corporation agreed on 1 March 2026 to be acquired by a group led by funds managed by Global Infrastructure Management and the EQT Infrastructure VI fund, which would take the company private 313.

Stockholders approved the merger on 26 June 2026, with 479,072,642 shares voting for it and 10,131,991 against 6.

The European Commission approved the deal without conditions on 15 October, and on 19 October the New York Public Service Commission ruled that it needs no further review 4. Ohio's utility regulator approved it on 17 September 5.

Other approvals remain, and the company has said it expects to close in late 2026 or early 2027 43.

Second-quarter 2026 revenue was $3,422 million, up $567 million, or 20 percent, from a year earlier 2.

Net income was $387 million, against a net loss of $150 million a year before, helped by energy derivatives and by fees for development services in the U.S. 2.

As of Oct 28, 2026. Written by the desk, an AI model, from the sources listed. Nothing here is advice.

Newer filings are on file since this was written; an update is queued.

Where the revenue comes from

fiscal 2025, as filed

Revenue by product, fiscal 2025

ProductFiscal 2025Fiscal 2024Share of revenue
Electricity Generation$8.20B$8.76B67.0%
Electric Distribution$4.04B$3.52B33.0%

Revenue by region, fiscal 2025

RegionFiscal 2025Fiscal 2024Share of revenue
United States$5.06B$4.69B41.3%
Chile$1.52B$1.53B12.4%
Dominican Republic$1.36B$1.45B11.1%
El Salvador$1.09B$1.04B8.9%
Mexico$760M$462M6.2%
Bulgaria$687M$478M5.6%
Panama$649M$666M5.3%
Colombia$422M$686M3.4%
Argentina$366M$318M3.0%
Vietnam$321M$312M2.6%
Jordan$6.0M$28.0Munder 1%
Other Non-U.S.$1.0M$2.0Munder 1%

As tagged in its annual report (Form 10-K, filed Mar 2, 2026 ↗), read from the SEC's financial statement data sets. The year before is the figure the record holds for the prior fiscal year.

The desk's written account, in full. As of Oct 28, 2026. Written by the desk, an AI model, from the sources listed. Nothing here is advice.

Past

AES was founded in 1981 10. Its 2002 annual report described a global power company operating in 31 countries 10.

In 2002 its business had four lines: contract generation, competitive supply, large utilities and growth distribution 10. Large utilities revenue rose 91 percent to $3.1 billion that year, mostly because the company began counting the Brazilian utility Eletropaulo in its own results 10.

That year turned into a clean-up, and in July 2002 AES set up a restructuring office to fix, sell or abandon underperforming businesses 10. It took $2.3 billion of asset impairment charges, write-downs of what plants were judged to be worth, at Drax, Barry, Eletropaulo and CEMIG 10.

By the end of 2011 AES owned plants and utilities in 27 countries with about 44,200 MW of capacity 11. It had bought the Ohio utility DPL, now AES Ohio, on 28 November 2011 11.

That year the Maritza coal plant in Bulgaria started commercial operation 11. The company also said it would start a dividend in 2012 and narrow its geographic focus to fewer countries 11.

In 2018 the company paid down $1 billion of parent debt and signed long-term power contracts for 2 GW of capacity 12. It also agreed to sell about 48 percent of its interest in the operating portfolio of the sPower renewable developer 12.

It then said future growth would lean toward wind, solar and natural gas, and its battery storage venture with Siemens, Fluence, had delivered or been awarded 80 projects in 18 countries 12.

Fluence completed its stock market listing on 1 November 2021 1. AES sold AES Brasil in October 2024 and began a restructuring program in February 2025 that shrank its development company 1.

Revenue was flat in 2025 at $12,233 million, down $45 million, as a fall at Energy Infrastructure offset gains at Utilities and Renewables 1. Net income attributable to AES fell to $910 million from $1,679 million 1.

Utilities revenue rose $514 million, mostly from higher rates 1. Energy Infrastructure revenue fell $805 million, largely because the AES Andes portfolio moved into Renewables 1.

AES also booked a $264 million impairment at Maritza after its power contract was set to end, and the plant's contract expired in May 2026 17.

Present

Renewables

The Renewables unit has 17,836 MW of operating capacity in ten countries and earned $2,913 million of revenue in 2025, up 11 percent 1.

The company says it is a leading provider of renewable energy to data center companies, particularly in the U.S. 1. Bellefield 1, a 500 MW California solar farm with 500 MW of storage, sells to Amazon 1.

Its backlog, projects with signed contracts that are not yet running, is 12.0 GW, including 5.7 GW under construction 1.

Utilities

Six utility businesses distribute power to 2.7 million customers, including AES Indiana and AES Ohio in the U.S. and four utilities in El Salvador 1.

Utilities revenue was $4,122 million in 2025, up 14 percent 1. AES Ohio filed for new base distribution rates covering 2027 through 2029, and AES Indiana filed a 20-year resource plan 1.

Energy Infrastructure

This unit runs gas, LNG, coal, pet coke, diesel and oil plants in nine countries with 12,705 MW of capacity 1. Its revenue was $5,402 million in 2025, down 13 percent 1.

Its largest plant is Mong Duong 2 in Vietnam, a 1,242 MW coal plant in which AES owns 51 percent 1.

New energy technologies and the fleet

AES holds a 28.19 percent economic interest in Fluence, the storage company it created in 2018 with Siemens AG, and also backs the Maximo solar installation robot 1.

By capacity, 54 percent of the fleet runs on renewables, 29 percent on natural gas and 15 percent on coal 1.

People and problems

AES had 8,336 full time employees at the end of 2025 1. Andrés Gluski is chief executive, and Ricardo Falú became President on 2 March 2026 133.

Bernerd Da Santos, who led the U.S. and renewables business, left on 14 September 2026 to join Fluence as chief operating officer 8.

The audit committee dismissed the auditor EY because SEC rules would not treat it as independent after the merger closes, and its report on internal controls as of 31 December 2024 carried an adverse opinion 9.

A 2016 sale agreement for Sul in Brazil drew a dispute over alleged damages, which produced a $39 million loss in 2025 1.

The umbrella, in words

AES Indiana is owned through IPALCO: AES owns 85 percent of AES U.S. Investments, which owns 82.35 percent of IPALCO, and the Canadian investor CDPQ holds about 30 percent in all 1.

AES Ohio is held through DPL, which sold about 30 percent of AES Ohio to a CDPQ subsidiary on 4 April 2025 1. In El Salvador AES owns 75 percent of CAESS, 80 percent of CLESA, 74 percent of DEUSEM and 89 percent of EEO 1.

The full subsidiary list is Exhibit 21.1 to the annual report 1. The buyer, Horizon Parent, is jointly controlled by funds managed by Global Infrastructure Management and the EQT Infrastructure VI fund 3.

Future

The merger agreement says the buyer must use reasonable best efforts to win approvals from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States and others 3.

The company says the deal remains subject to additional regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions 4. It expects closing in late 2026 or early 2027 3.

Either side may end the agreement if it has not closed by 1 June 2027, a date that can be extended by two successive three-month periods 3.

The agreement sets termination fees: the buyer would owe the company $100 million or about $588 million in some cases, and the company would owe about $321 million in others 3.

The consortium would fund the full purchase with equity, and AES Indiana and AES Ohio would stay locally managed and regulated, Renewable Energy World reported 14.

Beyond the deal, the company says its 12.0 GW backlog of contracted projects is a core part of its growth, and 5.7 GW of it is under construction 1.

The company warned that a strong El Niño, a Pacific weather pattern that changes rainfall, is forecast for late 2026 into 2027 and has traditionally hit its markets 2.

What it may be looking into

Speculation Speculation, labeled as such: where the clues point, how sure the desk is of each, and what would change it. It is not a forecast and not advice.

  1. Speculation

    AES may keep retiring or selling older coal plants as their power contracts end.

    Because

    • The company decided in the fourth quarter of 2025 not to invest in converting Maritza to another fuel, and its power contract was set to expire in May 2026 7.
    • Energy Infrastructure revenue fell in 2025 partly after the sale and expiration of certain coal-related assets and contracts 1.
    Confidence 55 of 100What would change this A new long-term contract or a funded conversion plan for Maritza in a filing would weaken this 72.
  2. Speculation

    AES may add more power supply deals with data center customers in its utility areas.

    Because

    • The annual report says AES Indiana and AES Ohio have worked to identify sites well placed for new data centers 1.
    • POWER reported that AES cited 8.2 GW of signed agreements with data center customers, about 4.2 GW already operating 13.
    Confidence 60 of 100What would change this A quarterly report showing no new data center agreements in the backlog would weaken this 2.
  3. Speculation

    AES may sell down more of its Fluence stake.

    Because

    • The second-quarter 2026 report lists a gain on sale of shares in Fluence among the reasons net income rose 2.
    • AES held a 28.19 percent economic interest in Fluence at the end of 2025 1.
    Confidence 40 of 100What would change this A third-quarter report showing the same Fluence interest as the second would weaken this 2.

How the company works

The desk has not read this company's annual report yet.

The record in brief

The desk has not written this company's report yet.

Sources

a number beside a sentence opens its entry in its own document's list
The written account 14 sources · as of Oct 28, 2026
  1. Form 10-K, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2025 ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Mar 2, 2026
  2. Form 10-Q, quarterly report for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Aug 4, 2026
  3. Form 8-K, entry into the merger agreement with Horizon Parent, L.P. ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Mar 2, 2026
  4. Form 8-K, European Commission and New York approvals of the merger ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Oct 19, 2026
  5. Form 8-K, Public Utilities Commission of Ohio approval of the merger ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Sep 17, 2026
  6. Form 8-K, results of the special meeting of stockholders ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Jun 26, 2026
  7. Form 8-K, Item 2.06 material impairments, Maritza ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Jan 16, 2026
  8. Form 8-K, departure of an executive officer ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Sep 16, 2026
  9. Form 8-K, change in certifying accountant ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Jul 27, 2026
  10. Form 10-K, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2002 ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Mar 26, 2003
  11. Form 10-K, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2011 ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Feb 27, 2012
  12. Form 10-K, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2018 ↗The AES Corporation (SEC filing) · filed Feb 27, 2019
  13. EQT, GIP Move to Take AES Private in $33B Bet on Data Center Power Demand ↗POWER Magazine (Sonal C. Patel) · Mar 4, 2026
  14. AES is going private in a $33B deal ↗Renewable Energy World (Sean Wolfe) · Mar 3, 2026
SI Assistanton AES · research, not advice