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Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP)

NYSE: AMBP · Metal Cans · Luxembourg · filing with the SEC since 2021
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Grade5.1
◀ Past 7.3● Present 4.5▶ Future 3.7
1 est.
OverviewBusinessFinancialsGradeForecastSentimentOwnershipPeopleFilingsPatents Chart

The grade of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
5.1/10
◀ Past7.330% of the headline
● Present4.540% of the headline
▶ Future3.730% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

7.3/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Surviving crises

as filed
8.4/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2021.

weight 33% of this tense · 84th percentile among 37 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s filings since 2021 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
7.0/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+8.6% a year over 7 filed years; profitable in 3 of 7.

weight 45% of this tense · 70th percentile among 34 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s 7 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $3.3 billion in fiscal 2019 to $5.5 billion in fiscal 2025, up 8.6% a year; it rose in 6 of 6 years; it never fell from a peak; net income was positive in 3 of 7 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span8.6%top 23% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 7% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 19% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak0.0%top 7% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

as filed
6.3/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

Share count shrank 0.2% a year. 52% of cash flow returned. Insiders: 0 sales, 0 purchases.

weight 22% of this tense · 63rd percentile among 26 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Over the 3 fiscal years to 2025-12-31, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s diluted share count shrank about 0.2% a year, and dividends and buybacks returned about 52% of its operating cash flow over 3 years (its filed statements). Its officers and directors filed 0 sales and 0 purchases of their own stock on the open market in the year to 2026-09-30 (their Form 4 filings).

What it rests on

  • the share count over the yearstop 38% of its family
  • cash returned against operating cash flowtop 35% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

4.5/1040% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Financial health

as filed
2.9/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

Leverage 112%: owes 112¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 29th percentile among 34 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s shareholders' equity was below zero, so the profit on it is not read, and gross profitability: its products earned about 12 cents per dollar of everything the company owns. Leverage: it owed about 112 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count was unchanged over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 10% of its family
  • gross profit against assetsbottom 18% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 42% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
6.6/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

top 34% of 35 in its family; net margin 0.2%.

weight 33% of this tense · 66th percentile among 35 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s standing among 35 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $5.5 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 13% by size; a net margin of 0.2% ranks in the bottom 36%; revenue growth of 5.4% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the top 25% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$5.50Btop 13% of its family
  • net margin0.2%bottom 36% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth5.4%top 25% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

SI estimate
4.9/10

What are the people in charge doing?

SI estimate 4.9/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 28 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 28 members with one.
What the record cannot read
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
How it was reasoned
family median, 28 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s leadership is put at 4.9 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because it files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 28 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

3.7/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
2.5/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 25% of 32 in its family for room to expand.

weight 45% of this tense · 25th percentile among 32 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash from operations less capital spending is 5% of revenue (bottom 42%); a gross margin of 12.4% (bottom 8%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue5.0%bottom 42% of its family
  • gross margin12.4%bottom 8% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
5.0/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

top 50% of 34 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 34 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 5.4% a year over the last three filed years against 8.6% over all 7, slowing (top 44% of its family); the newest year grew 12% (top 22%); capital spending grew -33.4% a year (bottom 17%) (its annual reports). Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. tags no split of its revenue by line in the annual report on file, so growth by line cannot be read here; research and capital spending are on the trend.

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-3.2 points a yeartop 44% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth12.0%top 22% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-33.4%bottom 17% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
4.3/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 43% of 34 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 43rd percentile among 34 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $5.5 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 9.5% above the $5.0 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 40% of its family); net income of $11 million against a prior three-year average of $61 million (bottom 19%); a net margin of 0.2% against 1.3% before (bottom 49%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace9.5%top 40% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average-82%bottom 19% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average-1.1 pointsbottom 49% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton AMBP · research, not advice