Company Analysis

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS)

Nasdaq: ASTS · Communications Services, NEC · Midland, TX · filing with the SEC since 2019
Grade4.9
◀ Past 2.6● Present 4.4▶ Future 6.9
1 est.

The grade of AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
4.9/10
◀ Past2.625% of the headline
● Present4.435% of the headline
▶ Future6.940% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

2.6/1025% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
2.8/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

5 warning events since 2019; the latest 2022-08-16.

weight 22% of this tense · 28th percentile among 20 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s filings since 2019 show 5 warning events of 4 kinds: a notice about its exchange listing (8-K item 3.01, the latest 2021-04-12); a warning not to rely on past financial statements (8-K item 4.02, the latest 2021-04-30); an auditor change (8-K item 4.01, the latest 2021-07-09); a late-report notice (Form NT 10-K or NT 10-Q, 2 times, the latest 2022-08-16) (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
4.1/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+64.1% a year over 6 filed years; profitable in 0 of 6.

weight 45% of this tense · 41st percentile among 17 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s 6 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $6 million in fiscal 2020 to $71 million in fiscal 2025, up 64.1% a year; it rose in 3 of 4 years; the deepest fall was 100% from fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2023; net income was positive in 0 of 6 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span64.1%top 3% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 47% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 12% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak100.0%bottom 3% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
0.3/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 0.3/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 33% of this tense · 3rd percentile among 18 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the bottom 3% of 18 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 18 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s shareholder treatment is put at 0.3 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the bottom 3% of 18 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

4.4/1035% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
4.8/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -14%: lost 14¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 52%: owes 52¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 48th percentile among 18 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. lost about 14 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money. Leverage: it owed about 52 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 65.7% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetstop 24% of its family
  • return on equitybottom 47% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforebottom 19% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
4.2/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 42% of 19 in its family; net margin -482.2%.

weight 33% of this tense · 42nd percentile among 19 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s standing among 19 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $71 million in fiscal 2025 ranks in the bottom 26% by size; a net margin of -482.2% ranks in the bottom 8%; revenue growth of 72.4% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the top 8% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$70.9Mbottom 26% of its family
  • net margin-482.2%bottom 8% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth72.4%top 8% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
4.1/10

What are the people in charge doing?

bottom 41% of 12 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2021.

weight 22% of this tense · 41st percentile among 12 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Avellan, Abel Antonio (Chief Executive Officer, as filed), filing under that title since 2021-04-08, 5.6 years (top 21% of its family); the 15 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 2.5 years (bottom 13%); 10 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 15 people in charge now (bottom 30%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge10 in three years among 15 peoplebottom 30% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed2.5 yearsbottom 13% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record5.6 yearstop 21% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

6.9/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
4.9/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 49% of 18 in its family for room to expand.

weight 22% of this tense · 49th percentile among 18 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $2.3 billion against debt of $2.2 billion leaves 2.6% of its assets as net cash, top 45% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -1602.2% of revenue (bottom 3%); research spending of 39.6% of revenue (top 10%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets2.6%top 45% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-1602.2%bottom 3% of its family
  • research spending against revenue39.6%top 10% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
7.4/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

top 26% of 17 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 45% of this tense · 74th percentile among 17 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 72.4% a year over the last three filed years against 64.1% over all 6, speeding up (top 32% of its family); the newest year grew 1508.3% (top 3%); research spending grew -14.9% a year (bottom 39%); capital spending grew 164.8% a year (top 9%) (its annual reports). AST SpaceMobile, Inc. reported 2 product lines in fiscal 2025: Product at $44 million (63%), Service at $27 million (37%); 2 of 2 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span+8.4 points a yeartop 32% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth1508.3%top 3% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending-14.9%bottom 39% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending164.8%top 9% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
7.5/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

top 25% of 17 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 33% of this tense · 75th percentile among 17 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $71 million in fiscal 2025 came in 2738.4% above the $2 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 3% of its family); net income of $342 million against a prior three-year average of $140 million (bottom 32%); a net margin of a loss larger than its revenue against losses larger than its revenue before (top 3%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace2738.4%top 3% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average-145%bottom 32% of its family
  • net margin against its prior averageup more than 100 pointstop 3% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton ASTS · research, not advice