Company Analysis

Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA)

NYSE: CPA · Air Transportation, Scheduled · Panama City, PA · filing with the SEC since 2005
Grade6.0
◀ Past 6.0● Present 6.1▶ Future 5.9
1 est.

The grade of Copa Holdings, S.A.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
6.0/10
◀ Past6.030% of the headline
● Present6.140% of the headline
▶ Future5.930% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

6.0/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Surviving crises

as filed
6.5/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2017.

weight 33% of this tense · 65th percentile among 17 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
4.5/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+5.6% a year over 10 filed years; profitable in 9 of 10.

weight 45% of this tense · 45th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s 10 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $2.2 billion in fiscal 2016 to $3.6 billion in fiscal 2025, up 5.6% a year; it rose in 7 of 9 years; the deepest fall was 70% from fiscal 2019 to fiscal 2020; net income was positive in 9 of 10 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span5.6%top 46% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosebottom 32% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profittop 18% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak70.4%bottom 11% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

as filed
8.3/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

Share count shrank 4.5% a year. 21% of cash flow returned. Insiders: 2 sales, 0 purchases.

weight 22% of this tense · 83rd percentile among 13 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Over the 3 fiscal years to 2025-12-31, Copa Holdings, S.A.'s diluted share count shrank about 4.5% a year, and dividends and buybacks returned about 21% of its operating cash flow over 3 years (its filed statements). Its officers and directors filed 2 sales and 0 purchases of their own stock on the open market in the year to 2026-11-12 (their Form 4 filings).

What it rests on

  • the share count over the yearstop 17% of its family
  • cash returned against operating cash flowtop 18% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

6.1/1040% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Financial health

as filed
7.7/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE 24%: 24¢ of profit per shareholder dollar. Leverage 58%: owes 58¢ per asset dollar.

weight 33% of this tense · 76th percentile among 15 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Copa Holdings, S.A. earned about 24 cents of profit for every dollar of shareholders' money. Leverage: it owed about 58 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count shrank 1.3% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetstop 9% of its family
  • return on equitytop 18% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 43% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
5.2/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

top 48% of 14 in its family; net margin 18.6%.

weight 45% of this tense · 52nd percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s standing among 14 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $3.6 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the bottom 21% by size; a net margin of 18.6% ranks in the top 4%; revenue growth of 6.9% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 39% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$3.62Bbottom 21% of its family
  • net margin18.6%top 4% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth6.9%bottom 39% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

SI estimate
5.7/10

What are the people in charge doing?

SI estimate 5.7/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 12 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-17 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 12 members with one.
What the record cannot read
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-17 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
How it was reasoned
family median, 12 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Copa Holdings, S.A.'s leadership is put at 5.7 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because it files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-17 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 12 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

5.9/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
6.5/10

How much room does it have to grow?

top 35% of 14 in its family for room to expand.

weight 22% of this tense · 65th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $383 million against debt of $2.0 billion leaves -24.3% of its assets as net cash, bottom 34% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is 31.8% of revenue (top 4%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets-24.3%bottom 34% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue31.8%top 4% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
5.7/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

top 43% of 14 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 45% of this tense · 57th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 6.9% a year over the last three filed years against 5.6% over all 10, speeding up (top 46% of its family); the newest year grew 5% (top 39%) (its annual reports). Copa Holdings, S.A. reported 2 product lines in fiscal 2025: Passenger Revenue at $3.4 billion (97%), Cargo and Mail Revenue at $116 million (3%); 2 of 2 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span+1.3 points a yeartop 46% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth5.0%top 39% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
5.8/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

top 42% of 14 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 33% of this tense · 58th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Copa Holdings, S.A.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $3.6 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 2.6% below the $3.7 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 39% of its family); net income of $672 million against a prior three-year average of $490 million (bottom 46%); a net margin of 18.6% against 14.8% before (top 32%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace-2.6%top 39% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average+37%bottom 46% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average+3.8 pointstop 32% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton CPA · research, not advice