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Fervo Energy Company (FRVO)

Nasdaq: FRVO · Electric Services · filing with the SEC since 2021
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Grade5.8
◀ Past 6.0● Present 6.2▶ Future 5.1
8 est.
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The grade of Fervo Energy Company

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
5.8/10
◀ Past6.025% of the headline
● Present6.245% of the headline
▶ Future5.130% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 1 reads as filed from the record and 8 are SI estimates, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

6.0/1025% of the headline grade · 1 of 3 filed, 2 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
6.6/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2021.

weight 45% of this tense · 66th percentile among 59 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Fervo Energy Company's filings since 2021 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

SI estimate
5.2/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

SI estimate 5.2/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 51 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than three filed years of revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 51 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than three filed years of revenue on file.
How it was reasoned
family median, 51 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's track record is put at 5.2 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than three filed years of revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 51 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
5.8/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 5.8/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 43 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 43 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
family median, 43 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's shareholder treatment is put at 5.8 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 43 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

6.2/1045% of the headline grade · 0 of 3 filed, 3 estimated

Financial health

SI estimate
5.2/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

SI estimate 5.2/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 45% of this tense · 50th percentile among 53 sector filers · read for itself

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
No balance sheet on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 53 members with one.
What the record cannot read
No balance sheet on file.
How it was reasoned
family median, 53 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's financial health is put at 5.2 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because no balance sheet on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 53 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Industry position

SI estimate
5.3/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

SI estimate 5.3/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 52 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
No filed revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 52 members with one.
What the record cannot read
No filed revenue on file.
How it was reasoned
family median, 52 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's industry position is put at 5.3 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because no filed revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 52 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Leadership

SI estimate
9.5/10

What are the people in charge doing?

SI estimate 9.5/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 95th percentile among 37 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, officer and director changes on Form 8-K over three years, against the people in charge, which ranks in the top 5% of 37 in its family; the record of its people begins on 2026-05-12 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 6 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
What the record cannot read
The record of its people begins on 2026-05-12 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 6 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
How it was reasoned
one part: officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge, the one part on file, ranked among 37 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's leadership is put at 9.5 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, officer and director changes on Form 8-K over three years, against the people in charge, which ranks in the top 5% of 37 in its family; the record of its people begins on 2026-05-12 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 6 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

5.1/1030% of the headline grade · 0 of 3 filed, 3 estimated

Room to expand

SI estimate
4.5/10

How much room does it have to grow?

SI estimate 4.5/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 47 sector filers · read for itself

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
The record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 47 members with one.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue.
How it was reasoned
family median, 47 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's room to expand is put at 4.5 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because the record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 47 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Growth drivers

SI estimate
5.1/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

SI estimate 5.1/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 45% of this tense · 50th percentile among 51 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
The record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 51 members with one.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending.
How it was reasoned
family median, 51 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's growth drivers is put at 5.1 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because the record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 51 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Expectations vs reality

SI estimate
5.4/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

SI estimate 5.4/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 49 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
The record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 49 members with one.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change.
How it was reasoned
family median, 49 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fervo Energy Company's expectations vs reality is put at 5.4 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because the record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 49 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton FRVO · research, not advice