Company Analysis

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Nasdaq: MRNA · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · Cambridge, MA · filing with the SEC since 2016
Grade5.7
◀ Past 7.3● Present 6.0▶ Future 3.6
1 est.

The grade of Moderna, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
5.7/10
◀ Past7.330% of the headline
● Present6.040% of the headline
▶ Future3.630% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

7.3/1030% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
8.0/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2017.

weight 33% of this tense · 80th percentile among 159 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
5.7/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+78.4% a year over 6 filed years; profitable in 2 of 7.

weight 45% of this tense · 57th percentile among 102 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s 6 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $60 million in fiscal 2019 to $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025, up 78.4% a year; it rose in 2 of 5 years; the deepest fall was 90% from fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2025; net income was positive in 2 of 7 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span78.4%top 11% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosebottom 25% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profittop 19% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak89.9%bottom 35% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
9.4/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 9.4/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 94th percentile among 146 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 6% of 146 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 146 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Moderna, Inc.'s shareholder treatment is put at 9.4 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 6% of 146 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

6.0/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
6.0/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -33%: lost 33¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 30%: owes 30¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 60th percentile among 147 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Moderna, Inc. lost about 33 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 9 cents per dollar of everything the company owns (revenue less the cost of revenue). Leverage: it owed about 30 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 1.3% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetstop 44% of its family
  • return on equitytop 34% of its family
  • gross profit against assetsbottom 31% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 14% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
5.3/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

top 47% of 102 in its family; net margin -145.2%.

weight 33% of this tense · 53rd percentile among 102 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s standing among 102 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 6% by size; a net margin of -145.2% ranks in the top 41%; revenue growth of -53.4% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 8% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$1.94Btop 6% of its family
  • net margin-145.2%top 41% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth-53.4%bottom 8% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
7.2/10

What are the people in charge doing?

top 28% of 110 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2018.

weight 22% of this tense · 72nd percentile among 110 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Bancel, Stephane (Chief Executive Officer, as filed), filing under that title since 2018-12-07, 7.9 years (top 20% of its family); the 14 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 6.5 years (top 28%); 5 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 14 people in charge now (top 35%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge5 in three years among 14 peopletop 35% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed6.5 yearstop 28% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record7.9 yearstop 20% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

3.6/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
4.3/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 43% of 92 in its family for room to expand.

weight 45% of this tense · 43rd percentile among 92 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $2.6 billion against debt of $590 million leaves 16.3% of its assets as net cash, bottom 27% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -106.2% of revenue (top 40%); a gross margin of 55.3% (bottom 35%); research spending of 161.1% of revenue (top 49%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets16.3%bottom 27% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-106.2%top 40% of its family
  • gross margin55.3%bottom 35% of its family
  • research spending against revenue161.1%top 49% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
3.0/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 30% of 100 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 30th percentile among 100 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew -53.4% a year over the last three filed years against 78.4% over all 6, slowing (bottom 3% of its family); the newest year grew -39.9% (bottom 17%); research spending grew -1.7% a year (bottom 42%); capital spending grew -21.7% a year (top 43%) (its annual reports). Moderna, Inc. reported 6 product lines in fiscal 2025: COVID19 at $1.8 billion (93%), Stand Ready Manufacturing Revenue at $80 million (4%), Grant at $22 million (1%), and 3 more; 0 of 5 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-131.9 points a yearbottom 3% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth-39.9%bottom 17% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending-1.7%bottom 42% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-21.7%top 43% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
3.2/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 32% of 72 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 32nd percentile among 72 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Moderna, Inc.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $1.9 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 46.5% above the $1.3 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 30% of its family); net income of $2.8 billion against a prior three-year average of $29 million (bottom 2%); a net margin of a loss larger than its revenue against -45.2% before (bottom 24%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace46.5%top 30% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' averagefive times below its prior average or morebottom 2% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average-100.0 pointsbottom 24% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton MRNA · research, not advice