Company Analysis

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI)

Nasdaq: NCMI · Services-Advertising · Centennial, CO · filing with the SEC since 2006
Grade4.4
◀ Past 3.2● Present 5.1▶ Future 4.9

The grade of National CineMedia, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
4.4/10
◀ Past3.230% of the headline
● Present5.140% of the headline
▶ Future4.930% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

All nine metrics read as filed from the record.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

3.2/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Surviving crises

as filed
2.3/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

13 warning events since 2017; the latest 2024-03-22.

weight 33% of this tense · 23rd percentile among 15 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s filings since 2017 show 13 warning events of 5 kinds: a bankruptcy or receivership notice (8-K item 1.03, 3 times, the latest 2023-08-07); a debt default or acceleration notice (8-K item 2.04, 2 times, the latest 2023-04-12); a notice about its exchange listing (8-K item 3.01, 5 times, the latest 2023-06-15); an auditor change (8-K item 4.01, the latest 2024-03-22); a late-report notice (Form NT 10-K or NT 10-Q, 2 times, the latest 2023-03-29) (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
3.6/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

-6.5% a year over 10 filed years; profitable in 5 of 10.

weight 45% of this tense · 36th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s 10 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $448 million in fiscal 2016 to $243 million in fiscal 2026, down 6.5% a year; it rose in 6 of 9 years; the deepest fall was 80% from fiscal 2016 to fiscal 2020; net income was positive in 5 of 10 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span-6.5%bottom 11% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 32% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profittop 39% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak79.8%bottom 4% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

as filed
3.7/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

Share count grew 125.1% a year. 76% of cash flow returned. Insiders: 23 sales, 0 purchases.

weight 22% of this tense · 37th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Over the 3 fiscal years to 2026-01-01, National CineMedia, Inc.'s diluted share count grew about 125.1% a year, and dividends and buybacks returned about 76% of its operating cash flow over 3 years (its filed statements). Its officers and directors filed 23 sales (6 under scheduled 10b5-1 plans) and 0 purchases of their own stock on the open market in the year to 2026-10-02 (their Form 4 filings).

What it rests on

  • the share count over the yearsbottom 10% of its family
  • cash returned against operating cash flowtop 36% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

5.1/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
6.3/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -3%: lost 3¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 23%: owes 23¢ per asset dollar.

weight 33% of this tense · 63rd percentile among 15 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2026-01-01, National CineMedia, Inc. lost about 3 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 47 cents per dollar of everything the company owns (revenue less the cost of revenue). Leverage: it owed about 23 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count shrank 1.8% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetstop 23% of its family
  • return on equitytop 46% of its family
  • gross profit against assetsbottom 38% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 17% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
4.9/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 49% of 15 in its family; net margin -4.4%.

weight 45% of this tense · 49th percentile among 15 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s standing among 15 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $243 million in fiscal 2026 ranks in the top 39% by size; a net margin of -4.4% ranks in the top 50%; revenue growth of -0.8% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 37% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$243Mtop 39% of its family
  • net margin-4.4%top 50% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth-0.8%bottom 37% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
3.5/10

What are the people in charge doing?

bottom 35% of 7 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2019.

weight 22% of this tense · 35th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Lesinski, Thomas F. (Chief Executive Officer, as filed), filing under that title since 2019-08-05, 7.3 years (top 44% of its family); most of the 11 officers and directors filing now have filed since the record of its people begins (2023-08-16), a floor of 3.2 years the record cannot see past, so that part is not read; 9 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 11 people in charge now (bottom 14%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge9 in three years among 11 peoplebottom 14% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record7.3 yearstop 44% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

4.9/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
5.0/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 50% of 15 in its family for room to expand.

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 15 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2026): cash of $35 million against debt of $12 million leaves 4.6% of its assets as net cash, top 43% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is 1.2% of revenue (top 50%); a gross margin of 94.7% (top 12%); research spending of 1.3% of revenue (bottom 6%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets4.6%top 43% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue1.2%top 50% of its family
  • gross margin94.7%top 12% of its family
  • research spending against revenue1.3%bottom 6% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
5.3/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

top 47% of 14 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 45% of this tense · 53rd percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2026: revenue grew -0.8% a year over the last three filed years against -6.5% over all 10, speeding up (top 18% of its family); the newest year grew 1% (top 46%); research spending grew -12.3% a year (bottom 19%); capital spending grew 24.4% a year (top 41%) (its annual reports). National CineMedia, Inc. reported 4 product lines in fiscal 2025: National Advertising Revenue at $195 million (79%), Local Advertising Revenue at $35 million (14%), Founding Member Advertising Revenue From Beverage Concessionaire Agreements at $14 million (6%), and 1 more; 3 of 4 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span+5.7 points a yeartop 18% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth1.0%top 46% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending-12.3%bottom 19% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending24.4%top 41% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
3.8/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 38% of 12 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 38th percentile among 12 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

National CineMedia, Inc.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $243 million in fiscal 2026 came in 2.7% above the $237 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 29% of its family); net income of $11 million against a prior three-year average of $218 million (bottom 29%); a net margin of -4.4% against more than its whole revenue before (bottom 13%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace2.7%top 29% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average-105%bottom 29% of its family
  • net margin against its prior averagedown more than 100 pointsbottom 13% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton NCMI · research, not advice