Company Analysis

Redwire Corporation (RDW)

NYSE: RDW · Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts · Jacksonville, FL · filing with the SEC since 2020
Grade3.9
◀ Past 4.1● Present 3.9▶ Future 3.8
1 est.

The grade of Redwire Corporation

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
3.9/10
◀ Past4.130% of the headline
● Present3.940% of the headline
▶ Future3.830% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

4.1/1030% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
1.7/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

7 warning events since 2020; the latest 2023-06-20.

weight 33% of this tense · 17th percentile among 9 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Redwire Corporation's filings since 2020 show 7 warning events of 4 kinds: a notice about its exchange listing (8-K item 3.01, the latest 2021-12-03); a warning not to rely on past financial statements (8-K item 4.02, the latest 2021-05-03); an auditor change (8-K item 4.01, 2 times, the latest 2023-06-20); a late-report notice (Form NT 10-K or NT 10-Q, 3 times, the latest 2022-03-31) (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
5.5/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+24.9% a year over 5 filed years; profitable in 0 of 5.

weight 45% of this tense · 55th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Redwire Corporation's 5 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $138 million in fiscal 2021 to $335 million in fiscal 2025, up 24.9% a year; it rose in 4 of 4 years; it never fell from a peak; net income was positive in 0 of 5 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span24.9%top 36% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 36% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 29% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak0.0%top 36% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
5.0/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 5.0/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 50% of 7 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 7 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Redwire Corporation's shareholder treatment is put at 5.0 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 50% of 7 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

3.9/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
4.3/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -21%: lost 21¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 27%: owes 27¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 43rd percentile among 7 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Redwire Corporation lost about 21 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 1 cents per dollar of everything the company owns. Leverage: it owed about 27 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 80.7% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetstop 36% of its family
  • return on equitytop 50% of its family
  • gross profit against assetsbottom 7% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 50% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
4.5/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 45% of 7 in its family; net margin -67.6%.

weight 33% of this tense · 45th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Redwire Corporation's standing among 7 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $335 million in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 50% by size; a net margin of -67.6% ranks in the bottom 36%; revenue growth of 27.8% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the top 50% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$335Mtop 50% of its family
  • net margin-67.6%bottom 36% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth27.8%top 50% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
2.0/10

What are the people in charge doing?

bottom 20% of 5 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2021.

weight 22% of this tense · 20th percentile among 5 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Redwire Corporation's leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Cannito, Peter Anthony Jr (Chairman and CEO, as filed), filing under that title since 2021-09-02, 5.2 years (bottom 30% of its family); the 13 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 2.4 years (bottom 10%); 8 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 13 people in charge now (bottom 19%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge8 in three years among 13 peoplebottom 19% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed2.4 yearsbottom 10% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record5.2 yearsbottom 30% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

3.8/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
2.9/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 29% of 7 in its family for room to expand.

weight 45% of this tense · 29th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Redwire Corporation's room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $95 million against debt of $85 million leaves 0.7% of its assets as net cash, bottom 21% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -56.9% of revenue (top 50%); a gross margin of 5.2% (bottom 7%); research spending of 5.9% of revenue (bottom 36%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets0.7%bottom 21% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-56.9%top 50% of its family
  • gross margin5.2%bottom 7% of its family
  • research spending against revenue5.9%bottom 36% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
6.4/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

top 36% of 7 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 64th percentile among 7 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Redwire Corporation's growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 27.8% a year over the last three filed years against 24.9% over all 5, speeding up (top 36% of its family); the newest year grew 10.3% (bottom 36%); research spending grew 58.7% a year (top 21%); capital spending grew 54.9% a year (top 21%) (its annual reports). Redwire Corporation reported 2 lines of business in fiscal 2025: Space at $210 million (63%), Defense Tech at $126 million (37%); 1 of 2 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span+2.9 points a yeartop 36% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth10.3%bottom 36% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending58.7%top 21% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending54.9%top 21% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
1.7/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 17% of 5 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 17th percentile among 5 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Redwire Corporation's newest year against its own record: revenue of $335 million in fiscal 2025 came in 19.8% below the $418 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (bottom 30% of its family); net income of $227 million against a prior three-year average of $91 million (bottom 10%); a net margin of -67.6% against -43.4% before (bottom 10%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace-19.8%bottom 30% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average-150%bottom 10% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average-24.2 pointsbottom 10% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton RDW · research, not advice