Company Analysis

VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (VWAV)

Nasdaq: VWAV · Services-Prepackaged Software · West Hollywood, CA · filing with the SEC since 2024
Grade4.5
◀ Past 5.1● Present 4.1▶ Future 4.4
8 est.

The grade of VisionWave Holdings, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
4.5/10
◀ Past5.125% of the headline
● Present4.135% of the headline
▶ Future4.440% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 1 reads as filed from the record and 8 are SI estimates, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

5.1/1025% of the headline grade · 1 of 3 filed, 2 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
3.3/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

4 warning events since 2024; the latest 2026-08-14.

weight 22% of this tense · 33rd percentile among 230 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s filings since 2024 show 4 warning events: a late-report notice (Form NT 10-K or NT 10-Q, 4 times, the latest 2026-08-14) (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

SI estimate
5.7/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

SI estimate 5.7/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 45% of this tense · 50th percentile among 213 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than three filed years of revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 213 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than three filed years of revenue on file.
How it was reasoned
family median, 213 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s track record is put at 5.7 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than three filed years of revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 213 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
5.6/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 5.6/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 180 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 180 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
family median, 180 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s shareholder treatment is put at 5.6 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 180 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

4.1/1035% of the headline grade · 0 of 3 filed, 3 estimated

Financial health

SI estimate
5.1/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

SI estimate 5.1/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 45% of this tense · 50th percentile among 221 sector filers · read for itself

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than two of the four checks can be read, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 221 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the four checks can be read.
How it was reasoned
family median, 221 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s financial health is put at 5.1 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than two of the four checks can be read, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 221 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Industry position

SI estimate
5.4/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

SI estimate 5.4/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 218 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
No filed revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 218 members with one.
What the record cannot read
No filed revenue on file.
How it was reasoned
family median, 218 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s industry position is put at 5.4 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because no filed revenue on file, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 218 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Leadership

SI estimate
0.1/10

What are the people in charge doing?

SI estimate 0.1/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 2nd percentile among 167 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, officer and director changes on Form 8-K over three years, against the people in charge, which ranks in the bottom 2% of 167 in its family; the record of its people begins on 2025-11-26 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 10 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
What the record cannot read
The record of its people begins on 2025-11-26 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 10 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
How it was reasoned
one part: officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge, the one part on file, ranked among 167 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s leadership is put at 0.1 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, officer and director changes on Form 8-K over three years, against the people in charge, which ranks in the bottom 2% of 167 in its family; the record of its people begins on 2025-11-26 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 10 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

4.4/1040% of the headline grade · 0 of 3 filed, 3 estimated

Room to expand

SI estimate
2.1/10

How much room does it have to grow?

SI estimate 2.1/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 21st percentile among 220 sector filers · read for itself

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, cash less debt against assets, which ranks in the bottom 21% of 220 in its family; the record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue.
How it was reasoned
one part: cash less debt against assets, the one part on file, ranked among 220 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s room to expand is put at 2.1 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, cash less debt against assets, which ranks in the bottom 21% of 220 in its family; the record does not carry two of the four parts: cash less debt against assets, cash from operations less capital spending against revenue, gross margin, research against revenue. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Growth drivers

SI estimate
5.1/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

SI estimate 5.1/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 45% of this tense · 50th percentile among 213 sector filers · read for its customers

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
The record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 213 members with one.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending.
How it was reasoned
family median, 213 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s growth drivers is put at 5.1 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because the record does not carry three filed years of revenue and two of the four parts: acceleration, the newest year's growth, the growth of research and of capital spending, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 213 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

Expectations vs reality

SI estimate
5.1/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

SI estimate 5.1/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 33% of this tense · 50th percentile among 194 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
The record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 194 members with one.
What the record cannot read
The record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change.
How it was reasoned
family median, 194 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s expectations vs reality is put at 5.1 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because the record does not carry four filed years of revenue and two of the three parts: revenue against the prior pace, earnings against the prior average, the margin change, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 194 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton VWAV · research, not advice