Company Analysis

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

Nasdaq: WMG · Services-Amusement & Recreation Services · New York, NY · filing with the SEC since 2005
Grade5.9
◀ Past 7.1● Present 6.3▶ Future 4.2
1 est.

The grade of Warner Music Group Corp.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
5.9/10
◀ Past7.130% of the headline
● Present6.340% of the headline
▶ Future4.230% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

7.1/1030% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
7.5/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2017.

weight 33% of this tense · 75th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
6.6/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+8.4% a year over 10 filed years; profitable in 9 of 10.

weight 45% of this tense · 66th percentile among 21 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s 10 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $3.2 billion in fiscal 2016 to $6.7 billion in fiscal 2025, up 8.4% a year; it rose in 8 of 9 years; the deepest fall was 0% from fiscal 2019 to fiscal 2020; net income was positive in 9 of 10 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span8.4%bottom 40% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 33% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profittop 12% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak0.3%top 31% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
7.5/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 7.5/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 75th percentile among 20 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the cash returned against operating cash flow, which ranks in the top 25% of 20 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: cash returned against operating cash flow, the one part on file, ranked among 20 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Warner Music Group Corp.'s shareholder treatment is put at 7.5 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the cash returned against operating cash flow, which ranks in the top 25% of 20 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

6.3/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
6.4/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE 48%: 48¢ of profit per shareholder dollar. Leverage 92%: owes 92¢ per asset dollar.

weight 33% of this tense · 64th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-09-30, Warner Music Group Corp. earned about 48 cents of profit for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 31 cents per dollar of everything the company owns (revenue less the cost of revenue). Leverage: it owed about 92 cents per dollar of assets (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 27% of its family
  • return on equitytop 7% of its family
  • gross profit against assetstop 27% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
6.4/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

top 36% of 24 in its family; net margin 5.4%.

weight 45% of this tense · 64th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s standing among 24 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $6.7 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 7% by size; a net margin of 5.4% ranks in the top 15%; revenue growth of 4.3% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 15% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$6.71Btop 7% of its family
  • net margin5.4%top 15% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth4.3%bottom 15% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
6.1/10

What are the people in charge doing?

top 39% of 10 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2023.

weight 22% of this tense · 61st percentile among 10 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Kyncl, Robert (CEO, as filed), filing under that title since 2023-01-03, 3.9 years (top 39% of its family); the 19 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 6.4 years (bottom 42%); 6 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 19 people in charge now (top 21%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge6 in three years among 19 peopletop 21% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed6.4 yearsbottom 42% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record3.9 yearstop 39% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

4.2/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
6.2/10

How much room does it have to grow?

top 38% of 23 in its family for room to expand.

weight 22% of this tense · 62nd percentile among 23 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $532 million against debt of $4.1 billion leaves -35.9% of its assets as net cash, bottom 34% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is 8% of revenue (top 15%); a gross margin of 45.8% (top 35%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets-35.9%bottom 34% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue8.0%top 15% of its family
  • gross margin45.8%top 35% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
2.6/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 27% of 21 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 45% of this tense · 27th percentile among 21 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three filed years against 8.4% over all 10, slowing (bottom 21% of its family); the newest year grew 4.4% (bottom 36%); capital spending grew 1% a year (bottom 23%) (its annual reports). Warner Music Group Corp. reported 2 lines of business in fiscal 2025: Recorded Music at $5.4 billion, Music Publishing at $1.3 billion. 2 of 2 grew in the latest filed year, and the largest line is 81% of revenue (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-4.1 points a yearbottom 21% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth4.4%bottom 36% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending1.0%bottom 23% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
4.9/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 49% of 18 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 33% of this tense · 49th percentile among 18 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Warner Music Group Corp.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $6.7 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 0.2% above the $6.7 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 31% of its family); net income of $365 million against a prior three-year average of $472 million (bottom 36%); a net margin of 5.4% against 7.7% before (bottom 42%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace0.2%top 31% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average-23%bottom 36% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average-2.3 pointsbottom 42% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton WMG · research, not advice