Company Analysis

XChange TEC.INC (XHG)

Nasdaq: XHG · Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service · Xuhui, Shanghai, CN · filing with the SEC since 2019
Grade1.9
◀ Past 2.6● Present 0.6▶ Future 3.2
1 est.

The grade of XChange TEC.INC

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
1.9/10
◀ Past2.625% of the headline
● Present0.645% of the headline
▶ Future3.230% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

2.6/1025% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
2.8/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

4 warning events since 2019; the latest 2024-01-30.

weight 45% of this tense · 28th percentile among 30 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's filings since 2019 show 4 warning events: a late-report notice (Form NT 10-K or NT 10-Q, 4 times, the latest 2024-01-30) (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
0.7/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

-4.4% a year over 8 filed years; profitable in 1 of 9.

weight 33% of this tense · 7th percentile among 29 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's 8 filed years say what it did: revenue went from CNY 523 million in fiscal 2017 to CNY 365 million in fiscal 2025, down 4.4% a year; it rose in 3 of 7 years; the deepest fall was 77% from fiscal 2019 to fiscal 2024; net income was positive in 1 of 9 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span-4.4%bottom 5% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosebottom 5% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 13% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak76.6%bottom 5% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
5.0/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 5.0/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 24 members with one.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
family median, 24 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: XChange TEC.INC's shareholder treatment is put at 5.0 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 24 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

0.6/1045% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
0.7/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

Leverage 1369%: owes 1369¢ per asset dollar.

weight 33% of this tense · 7th percentile among 30 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-09-30, XChange TEC.INC's shareholders' equity was below zero, so the profit on it is not read, and gross profitability: its products earned about 12 cents per dollar of everything the company owns. Leverage: it owed about 1369 cents per dollar of assets (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 2% of its family
  • gross profit against assetsbottom 12% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
0.5/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 5% of 30 in its family; net margin -204.9%.

weight 45% of this tense · 5th percentile among 30 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's standing among 30 graded names in its industry family: revenue of CNY 365 million in fiscal 2025 is not ranked by size, since the family reports in another currency; a net margin of -204.9% ranks in the bottom 5%; revenue growth of -22.9% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 5% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • net margin-204.9%bottom 5% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth-22.9%bottom 5% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
0.8/10

What are the people in charge doing?

bottom 8% of 21 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2026.

weight 22% of this tense · 8th percentile among 21 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Sun, Zhichen (Chief Executive Officer, as filed), filing under that title since 2026-03-17, 8 months (bottom 13% of its family); the 4 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 8 months (bottom 3%); it files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes are not read (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • the median years the people in charge have filed8 monthsbottom 3% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record8 monthsbottom 13% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

3.2/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
3.5/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 36% of 29 in its family for room to expand.

weight 33% of this tense · 36th percentile among 29 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of CNY 16 million against no long-term debt tagged leaves 22.9% of its assets as net cash, top 19% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -3.2% of revenue (bottom 22%); a gross margin of 2.2% (bottom 4%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets22.9%top 19% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-3.2%bottom 22% of its family
  • gross margin2.2%bottom 4% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
2.4/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 24% of 29 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 24th percentile among 29 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew -22.9% a year over the last three filed years against -4.4% over all 8, slowing (bottom 5% of its family); the newest year grew 26.7% (top 19%); research spending grew -85.4% a year (bottom 6%); capital spending grew -98.6% a year (bottom 2%) (its annual reports). XChange TEC.INC tags no split of its revenue by line in the annual report on file, so growth by line cannot be read here; research and capital spending are on the trend.

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-18.6 points a yearbottom 5% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth26.7%top 19% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending-85.4%bottom 6% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-98.6%bottom 2% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
3.6/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 36% of 25 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 33% of this tense · 36th percentile among 25 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

XChange TEC.INC's newest year against its own record: revenue of CNY 365 million in fiscal 2025 came in 94% above the CNY 188 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 2% of its family); net income of CNY 748 million against a prior three-year average of CNY 8 million (bottom 4%); a net margin of a loss larger than its revenue against -2.6% before (bottom 6%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace94.0%top 2% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' averagefive times below its prior average or morebottom 4% of its family
  • net margin against its prior averagedown more than 100 pointsbottom 6% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton XHG · research, not advice