Company Analysis

Oatly Group AB (OTLY)

Nasdaq: OTLY · Food and Kindred Products · Malmo · filing with the SEC since 2021
Grade5.2
◀ Past 6.8● Present 4.4▶ Future 4.8
2 est.

The grade of Oatly Group AB

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
5.2/10
◀ Past6.830% of the headline
● Present4.440% of the headline
▶ Future4.830% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 7 read as filed from the record and 2 are SI estimates, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

6.8/1030% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
7.4/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2021.

weight 33% of this tense · 74th percentile among 21 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Oatly Group AB's filings since 2021 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
6.8/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+27.1% a year over 7 filed years; profitable in 0 of 7.

weight 45% of this tense · 68th percentile among 18 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Oatly Group AB's 7 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $204 million in fiscal 2019 to $862 million in fiscal 2025, up 27.1% a year; it rose in 6 of 6 years; it never fell from a peak; net income was positive in 0 of 7 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span27.1%top 21% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 11% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 14% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak0.0%top 11% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
5.8/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 5.8/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 58th percentile among 19 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 42% of 19 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 19 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Oatly Group AB's shareholder treatment is put at 5.8 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 42% of 19 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

4.4/1040% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Financial health

as filed
3.7/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -777%: lost 777¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 98%: owes 98¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 37th percentile among 19 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Oatly Group AB lost about 777 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 35 cents per dollar of everything the company owns. Leverage: it owed about 98 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 1.8% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 24% of its family
  • return on equitybottom 3% of its family
  • gross profit against assetstop 22% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforebottom 44% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
4.6/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 46% of 19 in its family; net margin -17.7%.

weight 33% of this tense · 46th percentile among 19 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Oatly Group AB's standing among 19 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $862 million in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 50% by size; a net margin of -17.7% ranks in the bottom 34%; revenue growth of 6.1% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the top 47% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$862Mtop 50% of its family
  • net margin-17.7%bottom 34% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth6.1%top 47% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

SI estimate
5.4/10

What are the people in charge doing?

SI estimate 5.4/10, confidence 20 of 100 (family median).

weight 22% of this tense · 50th percentile among 14 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 14 members with one.
What the record cannot read
It files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge.
How it was reasoned
family median, 14 readings behind it.
Confidence
20 of 100
What would change it
Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Oatly Group AB's leadership is put at 5.4 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because it files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; the record of its people begins on 2026-03-18 (a listing, a merger or a first filing under the rules) and its chief executive and most of the people in charge have filed since then, so the record shows a floor of 8 months and cannot see past it; a floor under five years is not read as years in charge, so the desk assumes the typical reading of its industry family, the median of 14 members with one. Its next annual report on file with the inputs replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

4.8/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
5.1/10

How much room does it have to grow?

top 49% of 18 in its family for room to expand.

weight 45% of this tense · 51st percentile among 18 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Oatly Group AB's room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $64 million against debt of $523 million leaves -58.3% of its assets as net cash, bottom 13% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -4.2% of revenue (bottom 42%); a gross margin of 32.1% (top 32%); research spending of 2.2% of revenue (top 18%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets-58.3%bottom 13% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-4.2%bottom 42% of its family
  • gross margin32.1%top 32% of its family
  • research spending against revenue2.2%top 18% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
2.9/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 29% of 17 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 29th percentile among 17 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Oatly Group AB's growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 6.1% a year over the last three filed years against 27.1% over all 7, slowing (bottom 9% of its family); the newest year grew 4.7% (top 38%); research spending grew -5.9% a year (bottom 35%); capital spending grew -60.5% a year (bottom 9%) (its annual reports). Oatly Group AB tags no split of its revenue by line in the annual report on file, so growth by line cannot be read here; research and capital spending are on the trend.

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-21.1 points a yearbottom 9% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth4.7%top 38% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending-5.9%bottom 35% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-60.5%bottom 9% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
7.0/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

top 30% of 16 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 70th percentile among 16 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Oatly Group AB's newest year against its own record: revenue of $862 million in fiscal 2025 came in 1.9% below the $880 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 34% of its family); net income of $153 million against a prior three-year average of $337 million (top 32%); a net margin of -17.7% against -44% before (top 22%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace-1.9%top 34% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average+55%top 32% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average+26.3 pointstop 22% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton OTLY · research, not advice