Company Analysis

Shell plc (SHEL)

NYSE: SHEL · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · London · filing with the SEC since 2004
Grade6.1
◀ Past 6.7● Present 5.9▶ Future 5.2
1 est.

The company now

Shell reported income for its shareholders of $10.8 billion for the second quarter of 2026, up from $5.7 billion in the first quarter 2. The company put the gain down to higher realised prices, more LNG trading, better chemicals margins and more crude and oil products trading 2. Lower volumes, mainly from the Middle East conflict's hit to its Qatari output, pulled the other way 2.

The conflict reached Shell directly: LNG production in Qatar was shut down from early March, and an attack on Ras Laffan on 18 March started a fire inside the Pearl GTL plant 6. Pearl turns natural gas into liquid fuels and base oils, and Shell owns all of it 1. Shell partially restarted Pearl in October, and a Shell spokesperson told Reuters that repairs to its Train 2 were expected to finish in the first quarter of next year 7.

The other big change is Canada: on 2 September 2026 Shell completed its purchase of ARC Resources, a gas and liquids producer in the Montney shale basin 5. Shell says the deal adds about 370 thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day 5. Third-quarter results are due on 29 October 2026, and Shell's own outlook for that quarter includes ARC 3.

As of Oct 28, 2026. Written by the desk, an AI model, from the sources listed. Nothing here is advice.

Newer filings are on file since this was written; an update is queued.

Where the revenue comes from

No split of its revenue is on file yet.

The desk's written account, in full. As of Oct 28, 2026. Written by the desk, an AI model, from the sources listed. Nothing here is advice.

Past

The modern Shell was shaped in 2016, when it bought BG Group, a British gas producer, and then sold some $30 billion of assets it no longer wanted 13. BG made Shell one of the largest sellers of liquefied natural gas, or LNG, gas chilled into a liquid so ships can carry it 13. Revenue that year was $233.6 billion 13.

Revenue rose to $388.4 billion in 2018, with income of $23.9 billion that year 13. Most of that money passed straight through, because purchases from others cost Shell $294.4 billion the same year 13.

Then 2020 broke the pattern: the COVID-19 pandemic cut fuel demand, and revenue fell to $180.5 billion with a loss of $21.5 billion 13. Much of the loss was write-downs: Integrated Gas alone booked $9.3 billion of impairments, mostly on its Queensland Curtis LNG and Prelude floating LNG plants in Australia, after Shell cut its long-term price outlook 13. The fourth-quarter 2020 dividend was $0.1665 a share 13.

Shareholders backed a simplification on 10 December 2021: one line of shares replaced the A and B shares, the top two executives moved to the UK, and Royal Dutch Shell plc became Shell plc 15. Income recovered to $20.6 billion in 2021 14.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent energy prices soaring in 2022, and Shell's revenue reached $381.3 billion, with income of $42.9 billion 14. Leaving Russia, including its Sakhalin-2 gas stake, cost $4.2 billion before tax that year 14.

Wael Sawan became chief executive on 1 January 2023 and set a theme of performance, discipline and simplification 1. As prices eased, revenue slid from $316.6 billion in 2023 to $284.3 billion in 2024 and $266.9 billion in 2025 1. Income held between $16.5 billion and $19.6 billion, helped by cost cuts of $5.1 billion against 2022 1.

Shell also reshaped what it owns in 2025 1. It bought Pavilion Energy, a Singapore LNG trader, shipped the first cargo from LNG Canada, sold its onshore Nigerian oil company and put its UK North Sea fields into Adura, a joint venture 1. It also sold its Singapore chemicals park and stopped building a biofuels plant in Rotterdam 1.

The money went back to owners: in 2025 Shell paid $8.5 billion of dividends and bought back $13.9 billion of its own shares 1. That shrank the average share count from about 7.3 billion (computed) in 2022 to about 5.9 billion (computed) in 2025, worked out from income and earnings per share 141.

Present

Integrated Gas and LNG

Integrated Gas finds and produces natural gas, turns it into LNG or into gas-to-liquids fuels, and trades LNG around the world 2. In 2025 it sold 72.9 million tonnes of LNG and liquefied 28.4 million tonnes in plants it part owns 1. Its adjusted earnings, the company's measure that strips out one-off items, fell to $8.0 billion from $11.4 billion on lower trading and prices 1.

The plants span Australia, where Shell owns 67.5 percent of the Prelude floating LNG plant, Nigeria, Oman, Trinidad and Tobago, Qatar and Canada 1. Shell owns 40 percent of LNG Canada, which shipped its first cargo in June 2025 1. The Qatar conflict cut the segment's second-quarter 2026 production by 31 percent against the first quarter 2.

Upstream: oil and gas fields

Upstream explores for and pumps crude oil and gas, much of it from deep water in the Gulf of America, Brazil and Nigeria 1. It produced 1,828 thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day in 2025 and earned $7.4 billion on an adjusted basis 1. In June 2026 Shell agreed to sell its Na Kika platform stake and the Coulomb tieback in the Gulf for $1.7 billion 2.

Marketing: stations, lubricants, aviation and marine

Marketing runs the Shell-branded fuel stations, 42,724 locations at the end of 2025, and sells lubricants, aviation fuel and marine fuel 1. Mobility and Lubricants had their best results ever in 2025, and the segment earned $4.0 billion on an adjusted basis 1. Shell sold Jiffy Lube, its US oil-change chain, for $1.3 billion on 30 June 2026 2.

Chemicals and Products: refineries and chemical plants

This segment refines crude oil into fuels and makes chemicals, at refineries such as Pernis in the Netherlands, Norco in Louisiana and Scotford in Alberta 1. Pernis can process 447 thousand barrels a day, and the Monaca plant in Pennsylvania can make 1.6 million tonnes of polyethylene a year 110. Chemicals kept losing money in 2025, and the segment's adjusted earnings fell to $1.1 billion 1.

Trading drove a sharp second quarter in 2026, when the segment earned $2.9 billion on an adjusted basis 2.

Renewables and Energy Solutions

This segment trades power and pipeline gas, runs some renewable and gas-fired plants, and builds carbon storage and hydrogen projects such as Northern Lights in Norway and a renewable hydrogen plant in the Netherlands 1. It earned $0.2 billion on an adjusted basis in 2025 1. In July 2026 Shell agreed to sell Sprng Energy, an Indian renewables group, for $1.8 billion 2.

People and plants

Shell employed around 85,000 people in more than 70 countries at the end of 2025 1. Wael Sawan, an engineer who joined in 1997, has run it since 1 January 2023, Sinead Gorman has been finance chief since 1 April 2022, and Sir Andrew Mackenzie chairs the board 1.

At the 19 May 2026 annual meeting, 98.86 percent of votes cast backed Sawan's reappointment, and a shareholder resolution won only 13.01 percent 16.

Rivals

Shell measures its pay awards against four rivals it names itself: bp, Chevron, ExxonMobil and TotalEnergies 1. It works beside some of them too, as with Chevron in the Whale field in the Gulf and Gorgon LNG in Australia 1.

Current problems

The Middle East conflict is the largest: Qatari LNG and Pearl GTL output were cut, and Shell says safe operation at Pearl depends on ships passing the Strait of Hormuz 27. In the Netherlands, climate campaigners led by Milieudefensie appealed to the Dutch Supreme Court after Shell won a 2024 appeal over cutting its emissions 1.

Raízen, Shell's 44 percent Brazilian fuels and ethanol venture, filed a debt restructuring plan in June 2026 that would dilute Shell's stake 2. Shell would put in BRL 3.5 billion ($685 million) once conditions are met 2. A São Paulo court approved the plan on 30 July, with Shell to lead the new money, Agência Cenário Energia reported 12.

The umbrella, in words

Shell plc, incorporated in England and Wales, sits on top of a group whose subsidiaries include Shell USA, Inc., Shell Canada Limited and the Singapore LNG trader Pavilion Energy 171. Since 2 September 2026 it also owns ARC Resources outright, paid for with cash and about 228 million new Shell shares 518.

Shell owns parts of large ventures rather than all of them: 40 percent of LNG Canada, 44 percent of Raízen, 30 percent of QatarEnergy LNG N(4) and 25 percent of Nigeria LNG 1. It operates Pearl GTL in Qatar with a 100 percent interest under a contract with the government 1.

No one controls Shell: its one class of shares carries equal votes, and the only holder above 5 percent it lists is BlackRock, Inc., with 8.1 percent from a 2025 Schedule 13G/A 1.

Future

Shell's next results, for the third quarter, are scheduled for 29 October 2026 3. Its update note expects Integrated Gas production of 740 to 780 thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day, including ARC 3. The note also flags an outflow of about $2.5 billion for German emissions certificates 3.

For spending, the company expects cash capital expenditure of $24 billion to $26 billion in 2026 2. After the ARC deal it said the range for 2027 and 2028 stays at $20 billion to $22 billion 4. The company plans to hand 40 to 50 percent of operating cash flow to shareholders through the cycle, with the dividend growing 4 percent a year 4.

Shell said in July it plans to buy back $4.2 billion (computed) of shares by the third-quarter results 2. It expects ARC to lift production growth to about 4 percent a year through 2030 against 2025, and to bring about $250 million of yearly savings within a year of closing 54.

New supply is scheduled: LNG Canada Phase 2, approved on 29 September 2026, doubles the plant to 28 million tonnes a year, with operations expected in the early 2030s 8. Shell's 40 percent share brings it nearly 6 million tonnes a year more 8.

In the UK North Sea, the government approved the Jackdaw gas field on 21 October 2026, and Adura, the Shell and Equinor venture, expects gas to flow within weeks 9. Adura is still waiting on a separate decision for the Rosebank field 9.

Several deals await approvals: the Na Kika sale and the Sprng sale are both expected to close by the end of 2026 2. Raízen's plan ends automatically if its conditions are not met by 31 March 2027, unless extended once by up to six months 2.

What it may be looking into

Speculation Speculation, labeled as such: where the clues point, how sure the desk is of each, and what would change it. It is not a forecast and not advice.

  1. Speculation

    Shell may sell, or bring a partner into, its US chemical plants, the Monaca polyethylene complex among them.

    Because

    • Shell's own annual report says it aims to improve returns from its chemicals assets by exploring strategic and partnership opportunities in the USA 1. The same report says chemicals kept losing money in 2025 1.
    • Hydrocarbon Engineering, citing the Financial Times, reported in August 2026 that ExxonMobil and LyondellBasell were among parties interested in four Shell chemical sites in Louisiana, Texas and Pennsylvania 10. Shell declined to comment 10.
    Confidence 60 of 100What would change this A Form 6-K announcing a sale or partnership agreement for the US chemical sites would confirm it 1. A statement in Shell's results that the review has ended with the plants kept would refute it 1.
  2. Speculation

    Shell may use ARC's Montney gas to supply its share of the expanded LNG Canada plant.

    Because

    • When it agreed to buy ARC, Shell said ARC's gas reserves have the potential to support its growth in LNG in Canada, and that ARC's business would sit in Integrated Gas 4. Its existing Groundbirch gas, in the same region, already feeds LNG Canada 4.
    • LNG Canada runs on equity lifting, under which each partner brings its own share of feed gas, and Phase 2 adds nearly 6 million tonnes a year for Shell 8.
    Confidence 70 of 100What would change this A Shell statement naming other gas, such as purchased third-party supply, as the source for its expansion volumes would refute it 8. Results that report ARC wells tied into Shell's LNG Canada supply would confirm it 5.
  3. Speculation

    Shell may be building a data-centre business on the immersion cooling fluids it makes from Pearl's gas-to-liquids base oils.

    Because

    • The annual report says Shell's immersion cooling fluids were the first to earn Intel's data centre certification in 2025, and already cool Shell's own data centres in Houston and Amsterdam 1.
    • In April 2026 Keppel and Shell announced a 12-month test of the fluid in one of Keppel's working data centres in Singapore, planned to start by May 2026 11. If it works, the two said they would promote it to industry partners 11.
    Confidence 45 of 100What would change this Keppel's report on the pilot after its 12 months, or a supply contract with a large data centre operator, would show which way it goes 11. Silence from Shell after the pilot ends would weaken the read 11.

How the company works

The desk has not read this company's annual report yet.

The record in brief

five sections from the record

By the desk, an AI model (Claude Haiku 4.5), written from the company's record on Oct 21, 2026; nothing here is advice. Every sentence rests on the numbered source beside it, and a sentence the record did not support was cut before the report was kept.

A newer current report (Form 6-K, filed 2026-11-02) is on file; this report was written before it, and the desk writes it again on request.

Past

Shell plc's revenue moved from $234 billion in fiscal 2016 to $267 billion in fiscal 2025, rising 1.5% a year over ten filed years, and rose in 4 of 9 years. The deepest fall was 54% from fiscal 2018 to fiscal 2020. Net income was positive in 9 of 10 of those years. Over the three fiscal years to 2025, Shell's diluted share count shrank about 7.1% a year, and dividends and buybacks returned about 28% of its operating cash flow over three years. Shell's filings since 2017 show no warning events: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice. 1

Present

In its latest annual figures on file, for the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Shell reported revenue of $267 billion and a profit of $18 billion. In the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Shell earned about 10 cents of profit for every dollar of shareholders' money, owed about 53 cents per dollar of assets, and its share count shrank 6.5% over the year. Shell's revenue of $267 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 1% by size among its industry family; a net margin of 6.8% ranks in the bottom 45%; revenue growth of -11.2% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 30%. Shell files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; no officer or director has filed a Form 3, 4 or 5 for it in the last fifteen months, so the years in charge cannot be read. 21

Future

An annual report, foreign filer (Form 20-F) for the fiscal year ending 2026-12-31 is due by 2027-04-30; foreign filers have four months after the fiscal year ends. Shell's room to grow, from the newest filed statements, leaves it with cash of $30 billion against debt of $76 billion and cash from operations less capital spending of 16.1% of revenue. Revenue grew -11.2% a year over the last three filed years against 1.5% over all ten, and the newest year grew -6.1%. Shell's revenue of $267 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 8.7% above the $246 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to; net income of $18 billion came in against a prior three-year average of $26 billion; a net margin of 6.8% came in against 7.8% before. 31

How the company operates

Shell is classed as a commodity producer in the crude petroleum and natural gas industry. Shell tags no split of its revenue by line of business in the annual report on file. 21

New moves

On 2026-09-14, Shell filed a Form 25-NSE, a delisting notice from the exchange, removing a class of securities. On 2026-06-08, Shell filed a Form 424B3, a shelf offering document filed when registered securities are resold. On 2026-10-21, the UK approved the Jackdaw gas field after a court quashed its first consent; Shell and Equinor's Adura can start North Sea gas production within weeks. On 2026-10-12, Shell said its five evacuated Gulf assets had no storm damage as oil shut-ins fell below 58 percent. 34

Sources

a number beside a sentence opens its entry in its own document's list
The written account 18 sources · as of Oct 28, 2026
  1. Form 20-F, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2025 ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 12, 2026
  2. Form 6-K, unaudited condensed interim financial report for the three and six months ended 30 June 2026 ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Jul 30, 2026
  3. Form 6-K, Shell third quarter 2026 update note ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Oct 7, 2026
  4. Form 6-K, Shell announces agreement to acquire Canadian energy company, ARC Resources Ltd ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Apr 27, 2026
  5. Form 6-K, Shell completes acquisition of ARC Resources ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Sep 3, 2026
  6. Form 6-K, Shell update on its facilities in Qatar ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 19, 2026
  7. Shell partially restarts Pearl gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar ↗Reuters (Mohi Narayan, Stephanie Kelly, Shadia Nasralla), published by Zawya · Oct 8, 2026
  8. Shell takes final investment decision to double LNG Canada capacity ↗Hydrocarbon Engineering (Ellie Brosnan) · Sep 29, 2026
  9. Shell-Equinor Joint Venture Gets UK Approval for Jackdaw Gas Field ↗Offshore Engineer (OE Digital) · Oct 21, 2026
  10. ExxonMobil and LyondellBasell among potential buyers of Shell's US chemicals assets ↗Hydrocarbon Engineering (Ellie Brosnan) · Aug 26, 2026
  11. Keppel and Shell to launch advanced immersion liquid cooling testbed for more sustainable data centres ↗Keppel Ltd (company media release) · Apr 20, 2026
  12. Justiça homologa plano de reestruturação da Raízen para R$ 61,4 bilhões em dívidas financeiras ↗Agência Cenário Energia · Jul 30, 2026
  13. Form 20-F, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2020 ↗Royal Dutch Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 11, 2021
  14. Form 20-F, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2022 ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 9, 2023
  15. Form 20-F, annual report for the year ended 31 December 2021 ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 10, 2022
  16. Form 6-K, result of the 2026 Annual General Meeting ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed May 20, 2026
  17. Exhibit 8.1 to the 2025 Form 20-F, significant subsidiaries and other related undertakings ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Mar 12, 2026
  18. Form 6-K, application for admission of new Shell shares ↗Shell plc (SEC filing) · filed Sep 1, 2026
The record in brief 4 sources · written Oct 21, 2026
  1. SHEL: the nine metricsthis site's record
    show the quoted wordsTrack record (past, graded 4.1 of 10, weighs 33% of the past): Shell plc's 10 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $234 billion in fiscal 2016 to $267 billion in fiscal 2025, up 1.5% a year; it rose in 4 of 9 years; the deepest fall was 54% from fiscal 2018 to fiscal 2020; net income was positive in 9 of 10 of those years (its annual reports).Shareholder treatment (past, graded 8.6 of 10, weighs 22% of the past): Over the 3 fiscal years to 2025-12-31, Shell plc's diluted share count shrank about 7.1% a year, and dividends and buybacks returned about 28% of its operating cash flow over 3 years (its filed statements).Surviving crises (past, graded 7.7 of 10, weighs 45% of the past): Shell plc's filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).Financial health (present, graded 6.7 of 10, weighs 45% of the present): Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Shell plc earned about 10 cents of profit for every dollar of shareholders' money. Leverage: it owed about 53 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count shrank 6.5% over the year (the filed statements).Industry position (present, graded 5.8 of 10, weighs 33% of the present): Shell plc's standing among 76 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $267 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 1% by size; a net margin of 6.8% ranks in the bottom 45%; revenue growth of -11.2% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 30% (its annual reports).Leadership (present, an SI estimate at 4.7 of 10, weighs 22% of the present): SI estimate, not a filed reading: Shell plc's leadership is put at 4.7 of 10 with a confidence of 20 of 100, because it files no Form 8-K (a foreign issuer reports on Form 6-K), so officer and director changes cannot be read there; no officer or director has filed a Form 3, 4 or 5 for it in the lasRoom to expand (future, graded 4.4 of 10, weighs 22% of the future): Shell plc's room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $30 billion against debt of $76 billion leaves -12.3% of its assets as net cash, top 48% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is 16.1% of revenue (bottom 41%); research spending of 0.4% of revenue (bottom 39%) (its annual reportGrowth drivers (future, graded 4.9 of 10, weighs 33% of the future): Shell plc's growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew -11.2% a year over the last three filed years against 1.5% over all 10, slowing (top 37% of its family); the newest year grew -6.1% (bottom 38%); research spending grew 2.9% a year (bottom 45%) (its annual reports).Expectations vs reality (future, graded 5.9 of 10, weighs 45% of the future): Shell plc's newest year against its own record: revenue of $267 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 8.7% above the $246 billion its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 49% of its family); net income of $18 billion against a prior three-year average of $26 billion (top 44%); a net margin of 6.8% against 7.8% before (top 30Shell plc tags no split of its revenue by line in the annual report on file, so growth by line cannot be read here; research and capital spending are on the trend.
  2. SHEL: the company filethis site's record
    show the quoted wordsIn its latest annual figures on file, for the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, it reported revenue of $267 billion and a profit of $18 billion (its filed statements).Commodity producer (prior from its industry code (SEC 1311, Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas); the filing read can change it).
  3. SHEL: the filing record, ten yearsa filing
    show the quoted wordsDeadline ahead: Annual report, foreign filer (Form 20-F) for the fiscal year ending 2026-12-31 is due by 2027-04-30; foreign filers have four months after the fiscal year ends.Document: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1306965/000117184326006246 2026-09-14: Form 25-NSE, Delisting notice from the exchange.Document: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1306965/000119312526261921 2026-06-08: Form 424B3, Shelf offering. The share count, where registered securities are resold.
  4. SHEL: the stories that name itthis site's record
    show the quoted words2026-10-21: "UK approves Jackdaw gas field after a court quashed its first consent": Shell and Equinor's Adura can start North Sea gas production within weeks; the larger Rosebank oil field still waits for its own decision.(a study by the desk; the company is named in the event; /n/study-gulf-gulf-oil-shut-ins-fall-to-16-percent/) 2026-10-12: "Gulf crews return as oil shut-ins fall below 58 percent": The offshore regulator counted 32 production platforms still evacuated on Sunday 11 October, down from 113 on Saturday, with 57.54 percent of Gulf oil output and 49.11 percent of gas still shut in; Shell said its five e
SI Assistanton SHEL · research, not advice