Company Analysis

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)

Nasdaq: FOSL · Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts · Richardson, TX · filing with the SEC since 1994
Grade3.2
◀ Past 3.5● Present 3.0▶ Future 3.0
1 est.

The grade of Fossil Group, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
3.2/10
◀ Past3.530% of the headline
● Present3.040% of the headline
▶ Future3.030% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

3.5/1030% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
7.5/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2017.

weight 33% of this tense · 75th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
0.8/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

-11.6% a year over 10 filed years; profitable in 2 of 10.

weight 45% of this tense · 8th percentile among 23 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s 10 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $3.0 billion in fiscal 2016 to $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026, down 11.6% a year; it rose in 1 of 9 years; the deepest fall was 67% from fiscal 2016 to fiscal 2026; net income was positive in 2 of 10 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span-11.6%bottom 2% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosebottom 7% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profitbottom 22% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak67.0%bottom 2% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
3.1/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 3.1/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 22% of this tense · 31st percentile among 24 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the bottom 31% of 24 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 24 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Fossil Group, Inc.'s shareholder treatment is put at 3.1 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the bottom 31% of 24 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

3.0/1040% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
3.5/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE -90%: lost 90¢ per shareholder dollar. Leverage 87%: owes 87¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 35th percentile among 24 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2026-01-03, Fossil Group, Inc. lost about 90 cents for every dollar of shareholders' money, and gross profitability: its products earned about 82 cents per dollar of everything the company owns. Leverage: it owed about 87 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 2.1% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 2% of its family
  • return on equitybottom 6% of its family
  • gross profit against assetstop 2% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforebottom 35% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
3.2/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

bottom 32% of 23 in its family; net margin -7.7%.

weight 33% of this tense · 32nd percentile among 23 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s standing among 23 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026 ranks in the top 39% by size; a net margin of -7.7% ranks in the bottom 28%; revenue growth of -15.8% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 7% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$1.00Btop 39% of its family
  • net margin-7.7%bottom 28% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth-15.8%bottom 7% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
1.4/10

What are the people in charge doing?

bottom 14% of 18 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2024.

weight 22% of this tense · 14th percentile among 18 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Fogliato, Franco (CEO, as filed), filing under that title since 2024-09-18, 2.2 years (bottom 26% of its family); the 13 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 2.2 years (bottom 3%); 12 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 13 people in charge now (bottom 13%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge12 in three years among 13 peoplebottom 13% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed2.2 yearsbottom 3% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record2.2 yearsbottom 26% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

3.0/1030% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
3.4/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 34% of 23 in its family for room to expand.

weight 45% of this tense · 34th percentile among 23 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2026): cash of $96 million against debt of $178 million leaves -11.9% of its assets as net cash, bottom 26% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -6% of revenue (bottom 25%); a gross margin of 56.1% (top 17%); research spending of 0% of revenue (bottom 3%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets-11.9%bottom 26% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-6.0%bottom 25% of its family
  • gross margin56.1%top 17% of its family
  • research spending against revenue0.0%bottom 3% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
1.8/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 18% of 23 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 18th percentile among 23 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2026: revenue grew -15.8% a year over the last three filed years against -11.6% over all 10, slowing (bottom 37% of its family); the newest year grew -12.1% (bottom 11%); capital spending grew -42.1% a year (bottom 7%) (its annual reports). Fossil Group, Inc. reported 5 product lines in fiscal 2025: Traditional Watches at $815 million (81%), Jewelry at $91 million (9%), Leathers at $70 million (7%), and 2 more; 0 of 5 grew against the year before (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-4.2 points a yearbottom 37% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth-12.1%bottom 11% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-42.1%bottom 7% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
4.2/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

bottom 42% of 22 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 22% of this tense · 42nd percentile among 22 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Fossil Group, Inc.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $1.0 billion in fiscal 2026 came in 6.4% above the $944 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 43% of its family); net income of $78 million against a prior three-year average of $102 million (bottom 43%); a net margin of -7.7% against -7.7% before (bottom 25%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace6.4%top 43% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average+24%bottom 43% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average-0.1 pointsbottom 25% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton FOSL · research, not advice