Company Analysis

Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST)

Nasdaq: UPST · Finance Services · San Mateo, CA · filing with the SEC since 2015
Grade6.3
◀ Past 7.1● Present 5.9▶ Future 5.5
1 est.

The grade of Upstart Holdings, Inc.

Nine metrics read from its own filings, by tense
Headline grade
6.3/10
◀ Past7.140% of the headline
● Present5.935% of the headline
▶ Future5.525% of the headline

All three tenses have at least two readings, so the archetype blend applies as printed.

Of the nine metrics, 8 read as filed from the record and 1 is an SI estimate, each with its reasoning, its confidence and what would change it on its card.

◀ Past

What did they actually do?

7.1/1040% of the headline grade · 2 of 3 filed, 1 estimated

Surviving crises

as filed
8.4/10

Has it survived what it has been through?

No warning events in its filings since 2017.

weight 45% of this tense · 84th percentile among 130 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s filings since 2017 show no warning events in the scan: no bankruptcy or receivership notice, no debt default notice, no exchange listing notice, no restatement warning, no auditor change, no material cyber incident and no late-report notice (its current reports).

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Track record

as filed
5.8/10

What has it actually done, year after year?

+36.1% a year over 7 filed years; profitable in 3 of 7.

weight 22% of this tense · 57th percentile among 104 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s 7 filed years say what it did: revenue went from $164 million in fiscal 2019 to $1.0 billion in fiscal 2025, up 36.1% a year; it rose in 4 of 6 years; the deepest fall was 39% from fiscal 2021 to fiscal 2023; net income was positive in 3 of 7 of those years (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue growth over the filed span36.1%top 39% of its family
  • the share of years revenue rosetop 45% of its family
  • the share of filed years with a profittop 35% of its family
  • the deepest fall from a revenue peak39.5%top 50% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Shareholder treatment

SI estimate
6.0/10

How has it treated the people who own it?

SI estimate 6.0/10, confidence 35 of 100 (one part).

weight 33% of this tense · 60th percentile among 115 sector filers · read for its shareholders

SI estimate Inferred, not read as filed

Why it is an estimate
Read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 40% of 115 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
What the record cannot read
Fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income.
How it was reasoned
one part: the share count over the years, the one part on file, ranked among 115 in its family.
Confidence
35 of 100
What would change it
A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

From the record

SI estimate, not a filed reading: Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s shareholder treatment is put at 6.0 of 10 with a confidence of 35 of 100, because read from one part only, the share count over the years, which ranks in the top 40% of 115 in its family; fewer than two of the parts can be read: the share count over the years, and the cash returned against a positive operating cash flow or net income. A filing that carries the missing parts replaces this estimate with the filed reading.

● Present

What are they doing right now?

5.9/1035% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Financial health

as filed
5.4/10

Is it financially healthy right now?

ROE 7%: 7¢ of profit per shareholder dollar. Leverage 73%: owes 73¢ per asset dollar.

weight 45% of this tense · 54th percentile among 117 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Return on equity: in the fiscal year ended 2025-12-31, Upstart Holdings, Inc. earned about 7 cents of profit for every dollar of shareholders' money. Leverage: it owed about 73 cents per dollar of assets, and net share issuance: its share count grew 20.2% over the year (the filed statements).

What it rests on

  • what it owes per dollar of assetsbottom 30% of its family
  • return on equitytop 22% of its family
  • the share count against the year beforetop 46% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Industry position

as filed
7.0/10

How strong is its position in its industry?

top 30% of 114 in its family; net margin 5.1%.

weight 33% of this tense · 70th percentile among 114 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s standing among 114 graded names in its industry family: revenue of $1.0 billion in fiscal 2025 ranks in the top 13% by size; a net margin of 5.1% ranks in the top 26%; revenue growth of 7.4% a year over the last 3 filed years ranks in the bottom 48% (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the family$1.04Btop 13% of its family
  • net margin5.1%top 26% of its family
  • three-year revenue growth7.4%bottom 48% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Leadership

as filed
5.5/10

What are the people in charge doing?

top 45% of 50 in its family for leadership; chief executive since 2026.

weight 22% of this tense · 55th percentile among 50 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s leadership, from its insiders' filings and its current reports: the chief executive on the record is Gu, Paul (Chief Executive Officer, as filed), filing under that title since 2026-05-14, 6 months (bottom 17% of its family); the 12 officers and directors filing in the last fifteen months have been on the record a median of 5.9 years (top 23%); 4 officer or director changes were reported on Form 8-K since 2023-11-13, against the 12 people in charge now (top 30%; fewer changes for each person reads higher) (the Form 4 record, its Form 8-K reports). Years count from a person's first filing in the SEC's data sets, which begin in 2006, so each is a floor.

What it rests on

  • officer and director changes on Form 8-K, against the people in charge4 in three years among 12 peopletop 30% of its family
  • the median years the people in charge have filed5.9 yearstop 23% of its family
  • the chief executive's years on the record6 monthsbottom 17% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

▶ Future

What are they set up to do next?

5.5/1025% of the headline grade · 3 of 3 filed

Room to expand

as filed
4.5/10

How much room does it have to grow?

bottom 45% of 108 in its family for room to expand.

weight 33% of this tense · 45th percentile among 108 sector filers · read for itself

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s room to grow, from the newest filed statements (fiscal 2025): cash of $1.1 billion against debt of $1.8 billion leaves -26% of its assets as net cash, bottom 5% of its family; cash from operations less capital spending is -14.2% of revenue (top 35%); research spending of 24.7% of revenue (top 35%) (its annual report).

What it rests on

  • cash less debt against assets-26.0%bottom 5% of its family
  • cash from operations less capital spending against revenue-14.2%top 35% of its family
  • research spending against revenue24.7%top 35% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Growth drivers

as filed
4.0/10

What could actually drive growth from here?

bottom 40% of 100 in its family for growth drivers.

weight 33% of this tense · 40th percentile among 100 sector filers · read for its customers

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s growth drivers, from the filed years to fiscal 2025: revenue grew 7.4% a year over the last three filed years against 36.1% over all 7, slowing (bottom 18% of its family); the newest year grew 64% (top 20%); research spending grew 2.8% a year (top 44%); capital spending grew -66% a year (bottom 8%) (its annual reports). Upstart Holdings, Inc. tags no split of its revenue by line in the annual report on file, so growth by line cannot be read here; research and capital spending are on the trend.

What it rests on

  • three-year growth against the whole span-28.7 points a yearbottom 18% of its family
  • the newest year's revenue growth64.0%top 20% of its family
  • three-year growth of research spending2.8%top 44% of its family
  • three-year growth of capital spending-66.0%bottom 8% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

Expectations vs reality

as filed
8.0/10

Did its newest year beat what its own record pointed to?

top 20% of 78 in its family for expectations against reality.

weight 33% of this tense · 80th percentile among 78 sector filers · read for its shareholders

From the record

Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s newest year against its own record: revenue of $1.0 billion in fiscal 2025 came in 88.6% above the $553 million its prior three years' pace pointed to (top 19% of its family); net income of $54 million against a prior three-year average of $159 million (top 13%); a net margin of 5.1% against -26.6% before (top 28%) (its annual reports).

What it rests on

  • revenue against the prior three years' pace88.6%top 19% of its family
  • net income against the prior three years' average+134%top 13% of its family
  • net margin against its prior average+31.8 pointstop 28% of its family

A production reading, recomputed from the filings on every data build, read from EDGAR Nov 13, 2026.

The grade is the company against its own industry, from its filings. It is not a view on the share price. How the grade is made

SI Assistanton UPST · research, not advice